Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 9.480943 10.474914 11.539858 12.767554 14.146111 15.648840 17.414404
2025-10-05 8.079541 9.482643 11.092525 13.084319 15.493403 18.326693 21.931288
2025-10-12 7.072874 8.730255 10.744614 13.391963 16.807397 21.102881 26.973476
2025-10-19 6.207396 7.993375 10.272382 13.426775 17.731351 23.475261 31.846732
2025-10-26 5.479141 7.314913 9.757375 13.293451 18.362799 25.493127 36.506786
2025-11-02 4.882687 6.726435 9.270712 13.103384 18.845212 27.314948 41.112075
2025-11-09 4.385146 6.210561 8.812353 12.873338 19.203906 28.956401 45.643268
2025-11-16 3.987806 5.791029 8.437843 12.705714 19.607740 30.680151 50.525012
2025-11-23 3.672713 5.458008 8.150759 12.626471 20.119008 32.609700 56.015345
2025-11-30 3.483231 5.294981 8.101813 12.909714 21.241185 35.679512 63.990925
2025-12-07 3.235976 5.016729 7.840636 12.807152 21.680074 37.596984 70.108983
2025-12-14 2.981262 4.703458 7.492020 12.514149 21.737606 38.812640 75.026758
2025-12-21 2.779839 4.465664 7.254901 12.403996 22.138426 40.768925 81.898549
2025-12-28 2.687787 4.403397 7.309483 12.821756 23.581350 44.950677 94.302758
2026-01-04 2.592786 4.327477 7.332313 13.181645 24.956240 49.197710 107.717044
2026-01-11 2.461536 4.176800 7.207733 13.246570 25.745006 52.331710 119.175175
2026-01-18 2.317075 3.990831 7.002327 13.130960 26.142685 54.670143 129.165126
2026-01-25 2.177390 3.802785 6.777030 12.951486 26.379725 56.677784 138.726080
2026-02-01 2.044641 3.617757 6.542280 12.728485 26.492627 58.410777 147.923383
2026-02-08 1.930323 3.459151 6.345680 12.565042 26.718001 60.442651 158.393558
2026-02-15 1.835077 3.330161 6.196757 12.487839 27.131125 62.995755 170.945380
2026-02-22 1.785428 3.285752 6.212145 12.768090 28.420901 67.969814 191.964935
2026-03-01 1.699937 3.164775 6.062758 12.667089 28.773895 70.548432 206.131922